Even with the current surge in house prices, the RBA has not changed the cash rate today – no surprise, given it has been signalling rates could stay at historically low levels until 2024.
As expected, the RBA kept its settings unchanged, and we do not anticipate any movement in the near future.
The RBA was obliged to cut rates to 0.25%. It is right that monetary policy should be working in a co-ordinated manner with the government’s fiscal stimulus packages.
The RBA will and should cut rates to 0.25 percent.
Last month it was a 50-50 call on whether the RBA would reduce the cash rate. This month it was a lot clearer – rates were rightly cut by 0.25 percent today and there will probably be another 0.25 percent cut next month.
I believe the RBA was, on balance, correct to hold rates today – but it must have been a tough call.
I would suggest that the most prudent action from tomorrow’s Board meeting is for the RBA is to keep rates on hold.
While the decision to cut the cash rate by 25bp to 0.75 percent was priced into the market as a near certainty, the factors influencing the outcome were certainly not straightforward.
The RBA was right to keep rates on hold at 1 percent today and leave any further cuts till later in the year.
By cutting rates, the RBA is sending a signal to the market, to politicians and to the community at large, that the Australian economy is not firing on all cylinders
The sluggish GDP figures, particularly the weakness in household consumption, shows the RBA would have been justified in cutting cash rates faster.
It seems inevitable the Reserve Bank of Australia will drop the cash rate in its meeting next week, and possibly again later in the year.
So, the Reserve Bank of Australia resisted growing calls to cut interest rates yesterday. They were right to do so.
© 2021 KPMG, an Australian partnership and a member firm of the KPMG global organisation of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Limited, a private English company limited by guarantee. All rights reserved.